Write an article for Grand National Blog

The National Hunt season is slowly moving into gear and that means our thoughts will turn to the 2017 Grand National.

We have a wealth of knowledge here on Grand National Blog and we’d like to give our contributors the chance to write an article on the Grand National that we will post on this site.

If you would be interested in writing a Grand National themed post then please send your completed article to me at the following address:

darren@olbg.com

Unfortunately we won’t be able to add them all to the site but we will publish up to three articles from different contributors as long as they meet the standards we are looking for. As long as the content is Grand National based we will consider all articles so if you want to explore trends and stats in more detail for this year’s Grand National or want to wax lyrical about your favourite Grand National horse from the past we will be happy to hear from you. Other possible themes could be the recent changes to the Grand National fences or trainers and jockeys to follow in the Grand National etc etc.

Please remember we need to remain objective and we can’t print anything that is inflammatory or may cause offence.

I don’t want to add too many other restrictions but please try and keep your submissions relatively short as we want them to appeal to the casual blog reader as well.

We may even be able to throw in a prize for the article we like the most!

We reserve the right to edit your submissions in any way we see fit. If you are not happy with that please don’t send an entry in.

If you have any questions please email at the above address.

I look forward to hearing from you.

Thanks
Darren

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36 Responses to Write an article for Grand National Blog

  1. galileo says:

    Admin,never mind an article for a grand national blog……….how about a new thread for GN2017……

  2. red flash says:

    darren
    please please open a new 2017 grand national thread

  3. miinnehoma says:

    Right then, will we use this page or what.

    1 year before stats.

    – 20/20 6+ chase runs
    – 20/20 12+ chase/hurdle runs
    – 16/20 3+ chase wins (Hedgehunter2/PDR2/MC2/RTW0)
    – 19/20 5 chase wins or 20% chase win strike rate (RTW)
    – 19/20 4 or more chase/hurdle wins (Hedgehunter3)
    – 18/20 won 1 of last 7 chases (Mon Mome/RTW)
    – 18/20 3+ h’cap chase runs (?/MC 0)
    – 16/20 1+ h’cap chase wins (Bindaree/COD/MC/RTW)
    – 18/20 6+ runs @ 24f or more (Red Marauder 3 runs/MC 4 runs)
    – 16/20 won at 25f or more (Red Marauder/MP/MC/RTW)
    – 19/20 47% or more top3 chase strike rate (PDR)
    – 18/20 50% or more top3 chase strike rate (Amberleigh House/PDR)
    – 19/20 45% or more top3 chase/hurdle strike rate (Auroras Encore)
    – 17/20 won a 17k+ chase (PDR/MC/RTW)

  4. billymag says:

    In the absence of a dedicated thread lets use this lads and lasses.

  5. miinnehoma says:

    THE LAST SAMURI -

    from the Sporting Life
    Bailey said: “I think we’ll probably take him to Down Royal. I’m very happy with him and getting him back to Aintree is the main plan.
    “He’s not going to be easy to place as he’s not very big, so it would be tough for him to carry big weights in handicaps.
    “We’ll probably following a very similar route to last year and go back to Doncaster before the National.”

  6. Lucky Vane says:

    Theatrical Star ran today in in 2.45 Carlisle. TS was once thought of as a GN candidate by me but sadly lacking class. He’s a very honest horse and tries every time [or at least most of the time]. He likes to front run, but competitions like today shows his lack of class.

  7. galileo says:

    Hi gang,does anybody know when THE YOUNG MASTER is next due out……
    Got to say minne,THE LAST SAMURI will get clobbered with a lot of weight this year after his exploits last year,will be the best jumper in the race this year,never touched a twig last year…..

  8. Lucky Vane says:

    The Young Master holds an entry in the Hennessy, but not every bookies has a quote for him. So he may miss that, and after that I don’t really know. Sorry that I couldn’t be more helpful.

  9. galileo says:

    Thanks LV…..

  10. miinnehoma says:

    The Last Samuri now on OR159.

    Here’s a few in the betting with current OR

    Coneygree —-172
    SILVINIACO CONTI —-169
    MANY CLOUDS —-166
    CARLINGFORD LOUGH —-166
    Valseur Lido —-163
    BALLYCASEY —-162
    Alelchi Inois —-161
    DON POLI —-161
    THE LAST SAMURI —-159
    GILGAMBOA —-159
    Sausalito Sunrise —-158
    Ballnagour —-157
    LORD WINDERMERE —-157
    HOLYWELL —-156
    Lord Scoundrel —-156
    Minella Rocco —-155
    Bishops Road —-154
    Native River —-154
    Blaklion —-154
    FOXROCK —-154
    SAM WINNER —-154
    WONDERFUL CHARM —-154
    HOUBLON DES OBEAUX —-153
    ON HIS OWN —-153
    Shaneshill —-153
    Wounded Warrior —-153
    BOSTON BOB —-151
    O’FAOLAINS BOY —-151
    Vicente —-151
    BUYWISE —-150
    Cause Of Causes —-150
    DOUBLE ROSS —-150
    Henri Parry Morgan —-150
    JUST A PAR —-150
    Mala Beach —-150
    THIRD INTENTION —-150
    TRIOLO D’ALENE —-150
    SIR DES CHAMPS —-150
    The Young Master —-150
    Seeyouatmidnight —-150
    MORNING ASSEMBLY —-149
    SOLL —-149
    Theatre Guide —-149
    AACHEN —-148
    Carole’s Destrier —-148
    GALLANT OSCAR —–148
    Pleasant Company —-148
    SAINT ARE —-148
    SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR —-148
    THE DRUIDS NEPHEW —-148
    UNIONISTE —-148
    GOONYELLA —-147
    Southfield Royale —-147
    Southfield Theatre —-147
    Fletchers Flyer —-146
    KRUZHLININ —-146
    LE REVE —–146
    MAGGIO —-146
    Measureofmydreams —-146
    ONENIGHTINVIENNA —-146
    ROCKY CREEK —-146
    BENVOLIO —-145
    DOUBLE SEVEN —-145
    PENDRA —-145
    The Romford Pele —-145
    VICS CANVAS —-145
    ROGUE ANGEL —-144
    UCELLO CONTI —-144
    Thunder And Roses —-143
    Vyta Du Roc —-143
    Broadway Buffalo —-142
    FIRST LIEUTENANT —-142
    HOME FARM —-142
    Mountainous —-142
    Whats Happening —-142
    VIEUX LION ROUGE —-142
    HADRIAN’S APPROACH —-141
    Royale Knight —-141
    SPRING HEELED —-141
    BENBENS —-140
    SHOTGUN PADDY —-140
    BLACK THUNDER —-139
    KATENKO —-139
    Silvergrove —-139
    Highland Lodge —-137
    RUSSE BLANC —-137
    ALVARADO —-136
    Wrath Of Titans —-136
    Sizing Coal —-134
    Folsom Blue —-133

  11. Lucky Vane says:

    Native River could become a serious National contender. He finished second in the West Yoprkshire Hurdle on Saturday, holds an excellent chance in the Hennessy (which Many Clouds won on route to his National victory). Finished second in a twenty field event the National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup of 2016 so has stamina as it’s a four miler event in the Cheltenham Festival. He’s also won at the Aintree Festival, so know he can be good for that time of year. His RPR is 165 in chasing would like to see him better that in the coming season. One small nag he’s a novice last season, but with currently 7 chases under his belt, I’d expect him to make 10 chases at least before the National comes around.

  12. Lucky Vane says:

    I meant West Yorkshire Hurdle in my last entry.

  13. Lucky Vane says:

    Going to use this thread to post the Dosage Profile and Conduit Mare Profile of each runner. Also trying to recreate Speedyseagulls strong finisher stats.

    Speedy stats are in chases over 3 miles or greater in chase 2 or above. Because of re-measuring I’m allowing races of 23.5 furlongs.

    First the DP & CMP of past winners.

    2016 winner RULE THE WORLD
    Conduit Mare Profile = 5-5-4-9-6 Speed = 10 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.76 Triads = 14-18-19
    DP = 4-2-3-7-4 (20) DI = 0.60 CD = -0.25

    2015 winner Many Clouds
    CMP = 4-5-5-5-10 Speed = 9 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.60 Triads = 14-15-20
    DP = 2-1-15-4-0 (22) DI = 0.91 CD = 0.05

    2014 winner Pineau De Re
    CMP = 5-1-5-10-3 Speed = 6 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.76 Triads = 11-16-18
    DP = 0-0-1-1-0 (2) DI = 0.33 CD = -0.50

    2013 winner Auroras Encore
    CMP = 4-5-5-10-6 Speed = 9 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.67 Triads = 14-20-21
    DP = 5-0-10-5-4 (24) DI = 0.71 CD = -0.13

    2012 winner Neptune Collonges
    CMP = 2-0-7-6-6 Speed = 2 Stamina = 12 Index = 0.44 Triads = 9-13-19
    DP = 0-0-0-2-0 (2) DI = 0.00 CD = -1.00

    2011 winner Ballabriggs
    CMP = 2-3-9-9-4 Speed = 5 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.62 Triads = 14-21-22
    DP = 1-1-2-4-2 (10) DI = 0.43 CD = -0.50

    2010 winner Don’t Push It
    CMP = 3-6-2-7-9 Speed = 9 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.52 Triads = 11-15-18
    DP = 6-5-12-4-1 (28) DI = 1.55 CD = 0.39

    2009 winner Mon Mome
    CMP = 3-6-5-12-3 Speed = 9 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.74 Triads = 14-23-20
    DP = 1-1-2-0-0 (4) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.75

    2008 winner Comply Or Die
    CMP = 5-5-5-8-4 Speed = 10 Stamina = 12 Index = 0.95 Triads = 15-18-17
    DP = 2-0-6-4-0 (12) DI = 0.71 CD = 0.00

    2007 winner Silver Birch
    CMP = 3-1-7-5-10 Speed = 4 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.44 Triads = 11-13-22
    DP = 2-0-4-8-6 (20) DI = 0.25 CD = -0.80

    2006 winner Numbersixvalverde
    CMP = 5-3-5-5-10 Speed = 8 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.60 Triads = 13-13-20
    DP = 2-0-0-6-2 (10) DI = 0.25 CD = -0.60

    2005 winner Hedgehunter
    CMP = 5-6-1-9-6 Speed = 11 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.77 Triads = 12-16-16
    DP = 8-3-8-2-7 (28) DI = 1.15 CD = 0.11

    2004 winner Amberleigh House
    CMP = 6-1-7-4-8 Speed = 7 Stamina = 12 Index = 0.74 Triads = 14-12-19
    DP = 5-1-8-2-4 (20) DI = 1.00 CD = 0.05

    2003 winner Monty’s Pass
    CMP = 5-2-2-8-8 Speed = 7 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.54 Triads = 9-12-18
    DP = 3-4-6-0-7 (20) DI = 1.00 CD = -0.20

    2002 winner Bindaree
    CMP = 4-3-9-4-10 Speed = 7 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.61 Triads = 16-16-23
    DP = 1-1-3-4-1 (10) DI = 0.54 CD = -0.30

    2001 winner Red Marauder
    CMP = 4-2-4-8-7 Speed = 6 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.54 Triads = 10-14-19
    DP = 5-0-1-0-0 (6) DI = 11.00 CD = 1.67

    2000 winner Papillon
    CMP = 0-6-3-8-8 Speed = 6 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.33 Triads = 9-17-19
    DP = 0-1-4-1-6 (12) DI = 0.33 CD = -1.00

    1999 winner Bobbyjo
    CMP = 7-2-3-4-11 Speed = 9 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.66 Triads = 12-9-18
    DP = 5-1-4-6-4 (20) DI = 0.67 CD = -0.15

    1998 winner Earth Summit
    CMP = 4-2-6-4-12 Speed = 6 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.47 Triads = 12-12-22
    DP = 3-0-11-2-0 (16) DI = 1.13 CD = 0.25

    1997 winner Lord Gyllene
    CMP = 3-2-5-5-10 Speed = 5 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.43 Triads = 10-12-20
    DP = 2-0-2-4-6 (14) DI = 0.27 CD = -0.86

    1996 winner Rough Quest
    CMP = Speed = 5 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.43 Triads = 12-18-22
    DP = 0-0-6-8-6 (20) DI = 0.18 CD = -1.00

    1995 winner Royal Athlete
    CMP = 4-3-9-6-7 Speed = 7 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.69 Triads = 16-18-22
    DP = 0-0-0-0-0 (0) DI = Inf CD = Inf

    1994 winner Miinnehoma
    CMP = 4-3-6-5-10 Speed = 7 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.55 Triads = 13-14-21
    DP = 3-2-7-8-0 (20) DI = 0.74 CD = 0.00

    1993 winner [void]

    1992 winner Party Politics
    CMP = 1-3-5-7-8 Speed = 4 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.36 Triads = 9-15-20
    DP = 3-2-1-12-0 (18) DI = 0.44 CD = -0.22

    1991 winner Seagram
    CMP = 0-3-5-8-7 Speed = 3 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.30 Triads = 8-16-20
    DP = 2-0-2-12-10 (26) DI = 0.13 CD = -1.08

  14. Lucky Vane says:

    Here are the first ten of the hundred and ten runners (alphabetical order)

    1 Alary

    DP 3-1-8-6-0 [18] DI 0.80 CD 0.06

    CMP 8-4-4-7-7 SPEED 12 STAMINA 14 INDEX 0.96 TRIADS 16-15-18

    2 Alelchi Inois

    DP 1-0-1-0-0 [2] DI 3.00 CD 1.00

    CMP 5-6-5-6-9 SPEED 11 STAMINA 15 INDEX 0.72 TRIADS 16-17-20

    3 Alfie Spinner

    DP 4-1-8-6-7 [26] DI 0.53 CD -0.42

    CMP 6-4-4-8-8 SPEED 10 STAMINA 16 INDEX 0.71 TRIADS 14-16-20

    4 Alvarado

    DP 4-0-10-0-0 [14] DI 1.80 CD 0.57

    CMP 6-2-6-10-6 SPEED 8 STAMINA 16 INDEX 0.71 TRIADS 14-18-22

    5 As De Mee

    DP 1-1-8-2-0 [12] DI 1.00 CD 0.08

    CMP 5-2-3-8-7 SPEED 7 STAMINA 15 INDEX 0.60 TRIADS 10-13-18

    6 A Toi Phil

    DP 3-1-12-8-0 [24] DI 0.71 CD -0.04

    CMP 2-6-3-8-8 SPEED 8 STAMINA 16 INDEX 0.48 TRIADS 11-`17-19

    7 Ballynagour

    DP 4-3-7-3-1 [18] DI 1.40 CD 0.33

    CMP 4-3-5-8-5 SPEED 7 STAMINA 13 INDEX 0.70 TRIADS 12-16-18

    8 Beeves

    DP 3-4-11-14-0 [22] DI 1.32 CD 0.27

    CMP 2-5-6-9-3 SPEED 7 STAMINA 12 INDEX 0.71 TRIADS 13-20-18

    9 Benbens

    DP 0-0-9-2-1 [12] DI 0.60 CD -0.33

    CMP 4-3-6-8-4 SPEED 7 STAMINA 14 INDEX 0.65 TRIADS 13-17-20

    10 Bishops Road

    DP 1-1-8-6-6 [22] DI 0.38 CD -0.68

    CMP 6-5-3-7-9 SPEED 11 STAMINA 16 INDEX 0.71 TRIADS 14-15-19

  15. Lucky Vane says:

    Here are runners from 11 to 20 of the hundred and ten runners (alphabetical order)

    11 Blaklion

    DP 3-0-15-4-0 [22] DI 0.91 CD 0.09

    CMP 3-8-1-11-5 SPEED 11 STAMINA 16 INDEX TRIADS 12-20-17

    12 Bless The Wings

    DP 3-2-10-9-2 [26] DI 0.63 CD -0.19

    CMP 7-4-1-6-13 SPEED STAMINA 19 INDEX 0.58 TRIADS 12-11-20

    13 Carlingford Lough

    DP 4-0-6-4-0 [14] DI 1.00 CD 0.29

    CMP 4-8-2-11-1 SPEED 12 STAMINA 12 INDEX 1.20 TRIADS 14-21-14

    14 Carole’s Destrier

    DP 3-0-12-5-0 [20] DI 0.82 CD -0.05

    CMP 3-10-2-10-6 SPEED 13 STAMINA 16 INDEX 0.75 TRIADS 15-22-18

    15 Cause Of Causes

    DP 6-2-30-5-1 [44] DI 1.10 CD 0.16

    CMP 2-6-4-10-4 SPEED 8 STAMINA 14 INDEX 0.64 TRIADS 12-20-18

    16 Champagne West

    DP 1-5-8-0-0 [14] DI 2.50 CD 0.50

    CMP 2-5-4-10-7 SPEED 7 STAMINA 17 INDEX 0.46 TRIADS 11-19-21

    17 Clarcam

    DP 0-0-4-0-0 [4] DI 1.00 CD 0.00

    CMP 8-5-2-10-6 SPEED 13 STAMINA 16 INDEX 0.96 TRIADS 15-17-18

    18 Cloudy Too

    DP 2-1-11-4-0 [18 ] DI 0.89 CD 0.06

    CMP 6-3-4-9-6 SPEED 9 STAMINA 15 INDEX 0.76 TRIADS 13-16-19

    19 Cocktails At Dawn

    DP 2-0-4-2-0 [8] DI 1.00 CD 0.25

    CMP 5-1-7-6-6 SPEED 6 STAMINA 12 INDEX 0.72 TRIADS 13-14-19

    20 Dare To Endeavour

    DP 2-1-11-3-7 [24] DI 0.55 CD -0.50

    CMP 3-4-7-11-2 SPEED 7 STAMINA 13 INDEX 0.77 TRIADS 14-22-20

  16. Lucky Vane says:

    Here are runners 21 to 30 of the hundred and ten entries.

    21 Definitly Red

    DP 0-8-0-2-2 [12] DI 2.00 CD 0.17

    CMP 4-6-4-11-3 SPEED 10 STAMINA 14 INDEX 0.86 TRIADS 14-21-18

    22 Devils Bride

    DP 4-0-7-1-0 [12] DI 1.67 CD 0.58

    CMP 3-5-6-10-3 SPEED 8 STAMINA 13 INDEX 0.77 TRIADS 14-21-19

    23 Doctor Harper

    DP 2-1-1-6-2 [12] DI 0.41 CD -0.42

    CMP 4-3-5-11-6 SPEED 7 STAMINA 17 INDEX 0.57 TRIADS 12-19-22

    24 Don Poli

    DP 6-1-9-4-0 [20] DI 1.35 CD 0.45

    CMP 2-7-5-9-7 SPEED 9 STAMINA 16 INDEX 0.57 TRIADS 14-21-21

    25 Double Shuffle

    DP 2-0-9-4-1 [16] DI 0.68 CD -0.13

    CMP 8-4-0-8-11 SPEED 12 STAMINA 19 INDEX 0.67 TRIADS 12-12-19

    26 Dromnea

    DP 0-1-2-4-7 [14] DI 0.17 CD -1.21

    CMP 5-0-5-12-2 SPEED 5 STAMINA 14 INDEX 0.71 TRIADS 10-17-19

    27 Drop Out Joe

    DP 1-0-3-4-0 [8] DI 0.45 CD -0.25

    CMP 3-5-4-9-7 SPEED 8 STAMINA 16 INDEX 0.56 TRIADS 12-18-20

    28 Emperor’s Choice

    DP 3-2-4-2-1 [12] DI 1.40 CD 0.33

    CMP 5-2-7-5-6 SPEED 7 STAMINA 11 INDEX 0.79 TRIADS 14-14-18

    29 Empire Of Dirt

    DP 1-2-5-0-0 [8] DI 2.20 CD 0.50

    CMP 5-5-3-9-6 SPEED 10 STAMINA 15 INDEX 0.75 TRIADS 13-17-18

    30 Father Edward

    DP 3-2-6-0-1 [12] DI 2.00 CD 0.50

    CMP 7-3-4-5-6 SPEED 10 STAMINA 11 INDEX 1.00 TRIADS 14-12-15

  17. Lucky Vane says:

    Here are numbers 31 to 40 of the Grand National runners

    31 Federici

    DP 1-0-4-6-5 [16] DI 0.23 CD -0.88

    CMP 7-3-2-9-6 SPEED 10 STAMINA 15 INDEX 0.83 TRIADS 12-14-17

    32 Foxrock

    DP 3-2-4-0-1 [10] DI 2.33 CD 0.60

    CMP 5-5-7-4-6 SPEED 10 STAMINA 10 INDEX 0.96 TRIADS 17-16-17

    33 Gallant Oscar

    DP 4-0-6-10-2 [22] DI 0.47 CD -0.27

    CMP 4-5-5-6-7 SPEED 9 STAMINA 13 INDEX 0.72 TRIADS 14-16-18

    34 Gas Line Boy

    DP 3-0-13-2-2 [20] DI 0.90 CD 0.00

    CMP 7-9-3-11-5 SPEED 16 STAMINA 16 INDEX 1.08 TRIADS 19-23-19

    35 Gone Too Far

    DP 2-0-10-4-0 [16] DI 0.78 CD 0.00

    CMP 3-6-5-7-5 SPEED 9 STAMINA 12 INDEX 0.77 TRIADS 14-18-17

    36 Goodtoknow

    DP 1-1-4-8-2 [16] DI 0.33 CD-0.56

    CMP 3-4-5-9-6 SPEED 7 STAMINA 15 INDEX 0.58 TRIADS 12-18-20

    37 Goulanes

    DP 3-0-7-2-2 [14] DI 0.87 CD 0.00

    CMP 8-5-3-11-7 SPEED 13 STAMINA 18 INDEX 0.86 TRIADS 16-19-21

    38 Hadrian’s Approach

    DP 2-0-7-4-1 [14] DI 0.65 CD -0.14

    CMP 8-3-5-4-10 SPEED 11 STAMINA 14 INDEX 0.83 TRIADS 16-12-19

    39 Highland Lodge

    DP 3-2-4-2-1 [12] DI 1.40 CD 0.33

    CMP 7-2-4-6-8 SPEED 9 STAMINA 14 INDEX 0.77 TRIADS 13-12-18

    40 Houblons Des Obeaux

    DP 2-0-13-5-0 [20] DI 0.74 CD-0.05

    CMP 4-3-4-9-6 SPEED 7 STAMINA 15 INDEX 0.60 TRIADS 11-16-19

  18. Kevski111 says:

    Hey thanks for all the hard work LV but afraid I don’t understand, just a jumble of numbers to me. Can it be explained in idiot form :)

  19. Lucky Vane says:

    Yes, sorry Kev. I will put the explanation of the DP and CMP after I’ve posted all. To be honest I don’t have the faith in it, as I once did. But if it helps others it might be useful, even if that help is just to eliminate horses.

    The DP (Dosage Profile) and the CMP (Conduit Mare Profile) are stamina and speed from a breeding point of view.

    However afterwards going to try and recreate Speedyseagull’s strong finisher stat, which if I do it right could be extremely useful.

  20. sampy says:

    You’re a legend for doing this LV. Takes a lot of time as well as a subscription to Pedigree Query, unless there’s another source?

    I find it very interesting if not 100% conclusive, and CMP adds another dimension, potentially more informative than dosage as it takes into account every mare in the pedigree rather than just those given a rating in the sire line.

  21. Lucky Vane says:

    The DP figures are free, whereas the CMP I take out a $10 subscription. Which according to the exchange rate can vary. I suppose in future events the cost will go up because of Brexit. :P

    However the effect Trump will counteract that. Will do more figures tomorrow. Hope to finish these figures before the weights announced, on Valentine’s day.

    Also going to publish the strong finisher’s stat after and hope to keep them updated as much as possible to aid people in their search.

  22. Lucky Vane says:

    Here are the DP & CMP of those from 41 to 50 in the list

    41 Junction Fourteen

    DP 4-0-6-4-0 (14) DI = 1.00 CD = 0.29

    CMP 5-7-2-8-4 Speed = 12 Stamina = 12 Index = 1.06 Triads = 14-17-14

    42 Just A Par

    DP 2-4-2-2-0 (10) DI = 2.33 CD = 0.60

    CMP 7-3-5-6-7 Speed = 10 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.88 Triads = 15-14-18

    43 Katenko

    DP 0-0-2-0-0 (2) DI = 1.00 CD = 0.00

    CMP 3-3-3-12-5 Speed = 6 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.48 Triads = 9-18-20

    44 Killer Crow

    DP 0-2-2-4-2 (10) DI = 0.43 CD = -0.60

    CMP 5-2-5-14-3 Speed = 7 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.68 Triads = 12-21-22

    45 Knock House

    DP 2-0-6-4-0 (12) DI = 0.71 CD = 0.00

    CMP 1-9-4-10-4 Speed = 10 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.68 Triads = 14-23-18

    46 Lamb Or Cod

    DP 2-1-7-4-0 (14) DI = 0.87 CD = 0.07

    CMP 1-5-6-8-6 Speed = 6 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.50 Triads = 12-19-20

    47 La Vaticane

    DP 3-4-6-3-0 (16) DI = 1.67 CD = 0.44

    CMP 5-4-3-10-8 Speed = 9 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.59 Triads = 12-17-21

    48 Le Mercurey

    DP 0-0-5-1-2 (8) DI = 0.45 CD = -0.63

    CMP 4-2-3-12-5 Speed = 6 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.52 Triads = 9-17-20

    49 Lessons In Milan

    DP 3-1-9-6-1 (20) DI = 0.74

    CMP 8-6-0-11-7 Speed = 14 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.88 Triads = 14-17-18

    50 Lord Scoundrel

    DP 1-1-8-5-3 (18) DI = 0.50 CD = -0.44

    CMP 5-1-4-12-5 Speed = 6 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.58 Triads = 10-17-21

  23. Lucky Vane says:

    Some more DP & CMP from 51 to 60

    51 Lord Windermere

    DP 2-0-6-8-2 (18) DI = 0.38 CD = -0.44

    CMP 2-7-2-9-7 Speed = 9 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.52 Triads = 11-18-18

    52 Maggio

    DP 5-1-7-1-0 (14) DI = 2.11 CD = 0.71

    CMP 6-3-5-8-9 Speed = 9 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.65 Triads = 14-16-22

    53 Measureofmydreams

    DP 3-2-6-2-1 (14) DI = 1.33 CD = 0.29

    CMP 5-3-4-6-7 Speed = 8 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.71 Triads = 12-13-17

    54 Milansbar

    DP 2-0-8-4-6 (20) DI = 0.43 CD = -0.60

    CMP 7-3-3-9-6 Speed = 10 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.83 Triads = 13-15-18

    55 Milborough

    DP 4-0-7-6-1 (18) DI = 0.71 CD = 0.00

    CMP 9-3-2-9-7 Speed = 12 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.92 Triads = 14-14-18

    56 Minella Rocco

    DP 3-2-8-4-1 (18) DI = 1.00 CD = 0.11

    CMP 0-4-4-14-5 Speed = 4 Stamina = 19 Index = 0.29 Triads = 8-22-23

    57 More Of That

    DP 1-0-12-1-0 (14) DI = 1.00 CD = 0.07

    CMP 2-4-4-11-7 Speed = 6 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.41 Triads = 10-19-22

    58 Mountain King

    DP 1-9-2-0-0 (12) DI = 11.00 CD = 0.92

    CMP 5-7-6-9-5 Speed = 12 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.92 Triads = 18-22-20

    59 O’ Faolains Boy

    DP 2-0-8-10-2 (22) DI = 0.38 CD = -0.45

    CMP 3-7-3-8-8 Speed = 10 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.59 Triads = 13-18-19

    60 One For Arthur

    DP 4-0-9-4-1 (18) DI = 0.89 CD = 0.11

    CMP 7-3-2-8-8 Speed = 10 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.73 Triads = 12-13-18

  24. Lucky Vane says:

    Some more DP & CMP from 61 to 70

    61 Otago Trail

    DP 1-1-8-2-4 (16) DI = 0.60 CD = -0.44

    CMP 6-4-4-6-8 Speed = 10 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.77 Triads = 14-14-18

    62 Outlander

    DP 2-0-4-3-3 (12) DI = 0.50 CD = -0.42

    CMP 5-3-6-6-8 Speed = 8 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.68 Triads = 14-15-20

    63 Out Sam

    DP 2-2-13-3-2 (22) DI = 0.91 CD = -0.05

    CMP 1-7-3-12-5 Speed = 8 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.48 Triads = 11-22-20

    64 Pendra

    DP 2-0-10-4-0 (16) DI = 0.78 CD = 0.00

    CMP 4-7-2-10-7 Speed = 11 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.65 Triads = 13-19-19

    65 Perfect Candidate

    DP 1-0-12-7-2 (22) DI = 0.47 CD = -0.41

    CMP 6-6-1-6-11 Speed = 12 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.66 Triads = 13-13-18

    66 Pleasant Company

    DP 0-1-1-4-4 (10) DI = 0.18 CD = -1.10

    CMP 3-1-8-9-5 Speed = 4 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.56 Triads = 12-18-22

    67 Polidam

    DP 5-1-6-0-4 (16) DI = 1.29 CD = 0.19

    CMP 6-2-4-8-6 Speed = 8 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.75 Triads = 12-14-18

    68 Potters Cross

    DP 2-4-9-4-5 (24) DI = 0.78 CD = -0.25

    CMP 2-3-8-10-3 Speed = 5 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.63 Triads = 13-21-21

    69 Racing Pulse

    DP 2-4-8-4-0 (18) DI = 1.25 CD = 0.22

    CMP 4-6-3-12-6 Speed = 10 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.63 Triads = 13-21-21

    70 Raz De Maree

    DP 0-0-5-5-2 (12) DI = 0.26 CD = -0.75

    CMP 5-4-3-9-5 Speed = 9 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.77 Triads = 12-16-17

  25. Lucky Vane says:

    Some more DP & CMP from 71 to 80

    71 Regal Encore

    DP 4-0-15-5-2 (26) DI = 0.79 CD = -0.04

    CMP 2-8-2-11-4 Speed = 10 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.67 Triads = 12-21-17

    72 Road To Riches

    DP 1-0-7-2-4 (14) DI = 0.47 CD = -0.57

    CMP 4-4-4-7-10 Speed = 8 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.52 Triads = 12-15-21

    73 Rogue Angel

    DP 0-1-1-4-2 (8) DI = 0.23 CD = -0.88

    CMP 4-3-7-9-5 Speed = 7 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.69 Triads = 14-19-21

    74 Roi Des Francs

    DP 4-1-9-6-0 (20) DI = 0.90 CD = 0.15

    CMP 4-7-3-9-9 Speed = 11 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.60 Triads = 14-19-21

    75 Royale Knight

    DP 5-1-10-6-0 (22) DI = 1.00 CD = 0.23

    CMP 4-7-3-11-5 Speed = 11 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.75 Triads = 14-21-19

    76 Saint Are

    DP 0-0-6-8-2 (16) DI = 0.23 CD = -0.75

    CMP 1-2-7-10-6 Speed = 3 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.38 Triads = 10-19-23

    77 Sambremont

    DP 0-1-7-2-0 (10) DI = 0.82 CD = -0.10

    CMP 8-3-1-8-9 Speed = 11 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.74 Triads = 12-12-18

    78 Samingarry

    DP 2-1-9-4-0 (16) DI = 0.88 CD = 0.06

    CMP 5-7-4-7-7 Speed = 12 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.84 Triads = 16-18-18

    79 Saphir Du Rheu

    DP 0-0-2-2-0 (4) DI = 0.33 CD = -0.50

    CMP 6-3-8-6-7 Speed = 9 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.82 Triads = 17-17-21

    80 Sausalito Sunrise

    DP 3-1-11-5-2 (22) DI = 0.76 CD = -0.09

    CMP 3-7-2-12-5 Speed = 10 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.63 Triads = 12-21-19

  26. Lucky Vane says:

    Some more DP & CMP from 81 to 90

    81 Seventh Sky

    DP 5-0-11-6-0 (22) DI = 0.91 CD = 0.18

    CMP 2-7-6-7-11 Speed = 9 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.49 Triads = 15-20-24

    82 Shantou Flyer

    DP 3-2-13-3-1 (22) DI = 1.10 CD = 0.14

    CMP 3-4-5-7-9 Speed = 7 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.50 Triads = 12-16-21

    83 Shutthefrontdoor

    DP 5-4-7-4-0 (20) DI = 1.67 CD = 0.50

    CMP 6-5-3-9-7 Speed = 11 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.77 Triads = 14-17-19

    84 Silver Man

    DP 3-3-6-3-1 (16) DI = 1.29 CD = 0.25

    CMP 7-4-4-7-8 Speed = 11 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.81 Triads = 15-15-19

    85 Sizing Coal

    DP 0-1-1-4-2 (8) DI = 0.23 CD = -0.88

    CMP 6-2-4-11-4 Speed = 8 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.78 Triads = 12-17-19

    86 Stellar Notion

    DP 1-1-3-5-2 (12) DI = 0.41 CD = -0.50

    CMP 7-2-4-9-7 Speed = 9 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.74 Triads = 13-15-20

    87 Straidnahanna

    DP 1-1-11-3-2 (18) DI = 0.71 CD = -0.22

    CMP 7-4-5-13-4 Speed = 11 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.88 Triads = 16-22-22

    88 Streets Of Promise

    DP 1-2-7-0-0 (10) DI = 1.86 CD = 0.40

    CMP 3-5-3-8-7 Speed = 8 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.56 Triads = 11-16-18

    89 Tenor Nivernais

    DP 0-0-5-1-2 (8) DI = 0.45 CD = -0.63

    CMP 5-3-4-9-5 Speed = 8 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.74 Triads = 12-16-18

    90 The Crafty Butcher

    DP 1-7-4-2-0 (14) DI = 2.50 CD = 0.50

    CMP 4-5-4-10-7 Speed = 9 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.61 Triads = 13-19-21

  27. Lucky Vane says:

    Nearly done as entries 91 to 100 DP & CMP are now revealed.

    91 The Game Changer

    DP 2-2-8-6-2 (20) DI = 0.67 CD = -0.20

    CMP 3-5-6-9-5 Speed = 8 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.68 Triads = 14-20-20

    92 The Last Samuri

    DP 4-2-7-3-2 (18) DI = 1.12 CD = 0.17

    CMP 2-5-6-6-6 Speed = 7 Stamina = 12 Index = 0.63 Triads = 13-17-18

    93 The Romford Pele

    DP 5-1-12-4-0 (22) DI = 1.20 CD = 0.32

    CMP 3-6-5-8-8 Speed = 9 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.59 Triads = 14-19-21

    94 The Young Master

    DP 3-0-9-2-0 (14) DI = 1.15 CD = 0.29

    CMP 5-5-3-9-8 Speed = 10 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.64 Triads = 13-17-20

    95 Thunder And Roses

    DP 0-1-1-4-2 (8) DI = 0.23 CD = -0.88

    CMP 4-3-6-9-5 Speed = 7 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.68 Triads = 13-18-20

    96 Tiger Roll

    DP 2-0-15-9-0 (26) DI = 0.58 CD = -0.19

    CMP 4-4-4-10-5 Speed = 8 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.67 Triads = 12-18-19

    97 Tour Des Champ

    DP 1-1-6-2-0 (10) DI = 1.00 CD = 0.10

    CMP 6-2-6-7-6 Speed = 8 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.80 Triads = 14-15-19

    98 Triolo D’ Alene

    DP 2-1-6-3-0 (12) DI = 1.00 CD = 0.17

    CMP 4-4-7-8-5 Speed = 8 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.76 Triads = 15-19-20

    99 Ucello Conti

    DP 1-0-6-3-0 (10) DI = 0.67 CD = -0.10

    CMP 3-5-6-7-7 Speed = 8 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.63 Triads = 14-18-20

    100 Vicente

    DP 0-0-1-1-0 (2) DI = 0.33 CD = -0.50

    CMP 5-2-5-7-6 Speed = 7 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.71 Triads = 12-14-18

  28. Lucky Vane says:

    Final ten DP & CMP are now revealed. After this will be looking at the strong finishing stat of each runner. Will update this as much as possible, dropping those that are eliminated after each elimination stage.

    101 Vics Canvas

    DP 2-0-6-4-0 (12) DI = 0.71 CD = 0.00

    CMP 2-5-5-8-6 Speed = 7 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.56 Triads = 12-18-19

    102 Vieux Lion Rouge

    DP 0-0-0-2-0 (2) DI = 0.00 CD = -1.00

    CMP 9-5-3-4-10 Speed = 14 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.96 Triads = 17-12-17

    103 Vieux Morvan

    DP 1-0-4-1-0 (6) DI = 1.00 CD = 0.17

    CMP 4-4-3-7-10 Speed = 8 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.50 Triads = 11-14-20

    104 Vivaldi Collonges

    DP 0-0-0-2-0 (2) DI = 0.00 CD = -1.00

    CMP 2-0-5-7-7 Speed = 2 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.35 Triads = 7-12-19

    105 Viva Steve

    DP 5-2-6-0-1 (14) DI = 2.50 CD = 0.71

    CMP 5-3-4-8-7 Speed = 8 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.65 Triads = 12-15-19

    106 Vyta Du Roc

    DP 0-0-1-1-0 (2) DI = 0.33 CD = -0.50

    CMP 5-4-5-8-7 Speed = 9 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.70 Triads = 14-17-20

    107 Waldorf Salad

    DP 3-1-9-5-0 (18) DI = 0.89 CD = 0.11

    CMP 5-4-3-9-4 Speed = 9 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.85 Triads = 12-16-16

    108 Wonderful Charm

    DP 3-2-11-6-0 (22) DI = 0.91 CD = 0.09

    CMP 3-6-4-7-10 Speed = 9 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.52 Triads = 13-17-21

    109 Wounded Warrior

    DP 4-5-6-0-1 (16) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.69

    CMP 6-3-7-6-4 Speed = 9 Stamina = 10 Index = 1.05 Triads = 16-16-17

    110 Ziga Boy

    DP 0-1-3-0-0 (4) DI = 1.67 CD = 0.25

    CMP 5-6-4-12-4 Speed = 11 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.83 Triads = 15-22-20

  29. Lucky Vane says:

    Found an excellent website which explains the Dosage Profile

    http://www.teamvalor.com/dosage/dosage.htm

    While this site should explain the Conduit Mare Profile

    http://dimarres.wixsite.com/modern-conduit-mares

  30. Lucky Vane says:

    Will now try and re-create Speedyseagull’s strong finishing stat on here. Speedy suggest that you take any chases over 3 miles or more. Because of re-measuring I will allow 23.5 furlongs. The second condition of Speedy’s strong finishing stat is that the qualifying races have to be a class 2 or class 1 races. In Irish races I think the same level are class B and class A races. Speedy used a 1 in 3 strike rate or better as a pass in this strike, and it was very successful.I will try and keep this up to date, as much as possible.

  31. Lucky Vane says:

    Been wondering how to approach this?

    I’ve decided to put the race commentary of both Racing Post and Sporting Life for each horse in races of 23.5 furlongs or longer that are also class 2 or above or Irish equivalent and any other information relating to how well or poor it’s finish and let you make up you’re own minds. This idea was started a few years ago when I thought the thing everyone links with the National are it’s thrilling finishes.

    A painful example is Sunnyhillboy been beaten by Neptune Collonges, and Crisp beaten by Red Rum from 1973
    It doesn’t happen every year, but it does occur quite frequently.

    Speedy recommends a 1 in 3 strike rate or better.

  32. Lucky Vane says:

    Decided to use only Racing Post commentary.

    1 CARLINGFORD LOUGH : 13 RACES

    [1] 1/4/13 FAIRYHOUSE

    Waited with towards rear, some headway from 13th, ridden and no extra when mistake 3 out and pulled up before next

    [2] 18/9/13 LISTOWEL

    Chased leaders, pushed along from 3 out and no impression on winner in 5th from next, kept on well from last into never threatening 2nd close home

    [3] 29/9/13 LEOPARDSTOWN

    Waited with in rear, not fluent 8th, took closer order from 10th, closed to track leaders in 4th into straight, challenged in 2nd before last where not fluent, stayed on well under pressure to lead inside final 100yds

    [4] 12/3/14 CHELTENHAM

    Blundered 1st, in rear, not fluent 3rd, hit 5th, hampered 14th, headway 4 out, chased leaders 3 out, one pace from 2 out

    [5] 29/4/14 PUNCHESTOWN

    Waited with towards rear, took closer order behind leaders before 4 out where not fluent, ridden in 3rd before 2 out where switched left, closed under pressure to challenge last and led run-in, stayed on well

    [6] 28/2/14 LEOPARDSTOWN

    Held up in touch, 6th halfway, some headway behind leaders from 11th, ridden in 3rd approaching straight and no extra under pressure in 5th from after last, kept on one pace

    [7] 8/2/15 LEOPARDSTOWN

    Held up in touch, 6th halfway, took closer order behind leaders and disputed close 4th when mistake 2 out, ridden in 4th between last 2 and closed under pressure far side to challenge in 2nd run-in, kept on best to lead in closing stages, all out

    [8] 13/3/15 CHELTENHAM

    Mid-division, hit 13th and 15th, outpaced 18th and soon slightly detached, stayed on from 2 out but no threat to leaders

    [9] 28/12/15 LEOPARDSTOWN

    Held up in rear, niggled along briefly after 9th, pushed along after 7th and no impression struggling before 4 out, eased run-in

    [10] 6/2/16 LEOPARDSTOWN

    Held up, ridden in rear after 2 out and closed under pressure to chase leaders in 3rd before last, left in 2nd at last and soon led, stayed on strongly to assert run-in

    [11] 18/3/16 CHELTENHAM

    Held up in last pair well off pace, headway 3 out, went 3rd 2 out, stayed on but never any threat to front pair

    [12] 27/4/16 PUNCHESTOWN

    Waited with, slight mistakes in rear at 9th and next where pushed along briefly, ridden in 5th after 3 out and closed under pressure next where left disputing close 2nd, stayed on well to lead from last and soon asserted

    [13] 12/2/17 LEOPARDSTOWN

    Held up behind leaders, 5th before 8th, slight mistake next and soon dropped to rear, pushed along after 4 out, still in touch under pressure 2 out, left 4th at last and no impression on leaders run-in, kept on same pace

  33. Lucky Vane says:

    2 THE LAST SAMURI : 9 RACES

    [1] 21/3/15 KELSO

    Prominent, headway to lead before 2 out, driven and stayed on strongly from last

    [2] 18/4/15 AYR

    Held up in touch, ridden on outside before 4 out, headway to lead last, edged left under pressure run-in, kept on, headed towards finish

    [3] 28/11/15 NEWCASTLE

    Held up behind leading group, steady headway 11th, driven and outpaced after 5 out, rallied and close third before 2 out, driven and outpaced from last

    [4] 27/12/15 KEMPTON

    Tracked leaders, ridden after 4 out, went 3rd next, closed to take 2nd before last, good burst to lead final 100yds, ran on well

    [5] 5/3/16 DONCASTER

    Tracked leaders, jumped soundly, 2nd 15th, led 3 out, forged clear run-in, eased closing stages

    [6] 9/4/16 AINTREE

    With leaders, led 26th, headed and no extra last 150yds

    [7] 5/11/16 DOWN ROYAL

    Disputed until headed 3rd, tracked leader in clear 2nd from 10th, ridden after next and dropped to 3rd at 13th, no extra in 4th after 3 out, dropped to 5th 2 out

    [8] 3/12/16 AINTREE

    Tracked leaders, 2nd 3 out, kept on same pace last 100yds

    [9] 4/3/17 DONCASTER

    Chased leaders, pushed along 9th, outpaced 12th, rallied approaching 2 out, went 2nd last, no chance with winner

  34. Lucky Vane says:

    3 Alelchi Inois : 5 races

    [1] 8/12/13

    Settled behind leaders, mistake 6th, 5th halfway, ridden approaching 3 out, soon no extra and stayed on same pace

    [2] 16/9/15

    Held up in mid-division, took closer order after halfway, slight mistake in 6th at 12th, weakened after 5 out and pulled up before next

    [3] 25/9/16

    Prominent in main group behind clear leader, left 3rd 13th, led narrowly approaching 3 out where mistake and dropped to 3rd, lost more ground when untidy 2 out, stayed on well run-in, not reach front two

    [4] 28/1/17

    Always in rear, tailed off

    [5] 15/3/17

    In touch, weakened 28th, tailed off when pulled up run-in

  35. Lucky Vane says:

    4 More Of That : 4 races

    [1] 16/3/16

    Held up in last pair, little slow 5th, nudged along after 15th, short of room when taking closer order before 3 out, ridden and every chance 2 out, close 3rd and still decent chance when squeezed up last, no extra (broke blood vessel)

    [2] 28/12/16

    Mid-division, 5th briefly after 11th, ridden after 2 out and no impression on leaders under pressure in 6th before last, one pace run-in

    [3] 12/2/17

    Held up behind leaders, 3rd before 8th, going well behind leaders on outer between last 2, disputed close 3rd and every chance at last when bad mistake and unseated rider

    [4] 17/3/17

    Held up, outpaced after 3 out, stayed on after next but never threatened to get on terms

  36. Lucky Vane says:

    5 Shantou Flyer : 4 races

    [1] 23/10/15

    Chased leaders, mistake 10th, hampered and lost place 3 out, close enough in 4th and mistake 2 out, rallied under pressure flat, led final 75yds, stayed on

    [2] 14/2/16

    Held up in touch, slight mistake in rear at 6th, last at halfway, detached from 9th, jumped big 3 out and weakened, jumped left next and tailed off when pulled up before last

    [3] 15/3/16

    Midfield, fell 18th

    [4] 26/4/16

    Settled behind leaders, left 2nd at 9th and disputed briefly before 12th, hampered by loose horse before 4 out, ridden in 2nd after 3 out and lost place before next, no impression on winner in 5th between last 2, went 3rd from last and kept on one pace

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