Below is some basic info which may help with things for this year’s Scottish National. Apologies for the delay in starting this thread but things had been a bit hectic in Grand National Guide towers and we needed a couple of days to recharge the batteries!
Threads for the Irish National and the B365 will be set up in the next couple of days.
A good place to start is to look at the basic details of the last ten previous winners:
Scottish National Winners/Age/Weight/SP/Official Rating
2010 Merigo 9-10-0 18/1 127
2009 Hello Bud 11-10-9 12/1 133
2008 Iris De Balme 8-9-7(oh26!) 143?
2007 Hot Weld 8-9-9 14/1 124
2006 Run For Paddy 10-10-2 33/1 135
2005 Joe’s Edge 8-10-0 (5oh) 20/1 132
2004 Grey Abbey 10-11-12 12/1 148
2003 Ryalux 10-10-5 15/2 140
2002 Take Control 8-10-6 20/1 140
2001 Gingembre 7-11-2 12/1 137
2000 Paris Pike 8-11-0 5/1JF 143
The victories of Hot Weld and Hello Bud were slight trends breakers in that Hot Weld did not have a top six finish last time out and had a low official rating. Iris De Balme also had an official rating much lower than 143 but ran from that mark so I think we can include him in the figures .Hello Bud was the first winner in the last decade to be over ten years old.
Aged 7-10 (9/10)
Official Rating 132-148 (8/10)
Finished in top 6 on last outing (9/10)
In addition no horse that has run in that seasons Grand National has gone on to win the Scottish National so it would appear we can discount any horse who lines up after a trip round the Grand National fences. We can also discount those horses with a poor jumping record as only 2001 winner Gingembre had a record that included more than two falls or unseats.
Stamina will also be a huge consideration and nine out of the last ten winners had demonstrated winning form over at least 3 miles.
So add in:
No more than two falls or unseats (9/10)
Stamina proven at three miles (9/10)
Hopefully this will help reduce the field down once we know the final declarations
Let us know who you fancy