A large number of the horses left entered in the Grand National 2010 ran at the Cheltenham Festival – do you feel that a horse running an ultra competitive meeting three weeks before the Grand National is a positive or a negative?
Of the last ten winners of the Grand National just two have run at the Cheltenham Festival before going on to win at Aintree:
2007 Silver Birch 2nd Cross Country
2002 Bindaree 7th William Hill
Is this somewhat surprising? Should we, therefore, be moving towards horses who haven’t had a run at the Festival.
If we go back to the previous ten runnings of the Grand National the stats start to look a little better for Cheltenham runners:
1996 Rough Quest 2nd Gold Cup
1994 Miinnehoma 7th Gold Cup
1991 Seagram 1st Ritz Club (Now William Hill)
1990 Mr Frisk 4th Kim Muir
So, do you take a Cheltenham run into consideration when making your selections for Aintree? It would seem that the proximity of the meetings may not be the reason that horses may not perform as well as expected (for example, Mon Mome ran in the Midlands National after the Cheltenham Festival last year) but perhaps it is that connections have one eye on Cheltenham and one eye on Aintree rather than focusing totally on the Grand National.