Grand National Tips 2008: Who Have You Backed?

The time has nearly come to stop studying and sit back and watch the great race. But who are your Grand National Tips for 2008?

We’ve had dozens of selections on various other threads but lets bring them all together here on one page for easy reference. Let us all know who you have backed and a short reason as to why you have parted with your cash on these particular individuals.

No doubt D’Argent, Comply Or Die, Cloudy Lane and Point Barrow will be popular but are there any others that have taken your fancy?

I’ll get the ball rolling with where the admin 10p each way’s have gone:

Point Barrow

My main selection and has been for some time and (as outlined elsewhere) confidence is dwindling after his last couple of runs. Nevertheless, I’m hopeful that he will perform better than last year!

Joes Edge

This is a recent selection based on a feeling that the ground might get quite quick and that there have been excuses for his two poor performances in 06 and 07. I was attracted by a biggish price on the exchanges and the fact that I can’t fancy any of the of the main market hopefuls at the available prices. Also, Ferdy Murphy is becoming something of a genius with his big race chasers and I want him in the plus column in these races rather than the other way round.

Due to the rather annoying non-attendance of Joe’s Edge the Admin second best will now be Mon Mome. I know he is French bred etc but I don’t buy into this theory that French breds don’t stay so as he has decent form from the Welsh National and the stable is also in flying form then I think he has plenty going for him at under 11 stone. The young jockey is a slight worry but Tom O’Brien nearly won last year on his first ride in the National so it should be possible.

Backbeat, Joaaci, Baily Breeze

I like to have a few each-ways on big price outsiders that will cover the main bets if they squeak a place. I think these three have the potential to run well at big odds and if any of them win I doubt there will be much in the way of after race analysis from me! (only joking Boss!).

Backbeat jumps well and could love the experience, Joaaci has been mentioned as a National horse for a couple of years, although he could still be a bit young and Baily Breeze is a horse I’ve liked for ages and could have reserves of stamina not yet shown on the racecourse.

Good luck to all those having a bet but please let us all know what you are backing so we can congratulate and commiserate on here late on Saturday afternoon.

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32 Responses to Grand National Tips 2008: Who Have You Backed?

  1. Any horse competing here as a novice or in only their second season, is unlikely to win. All winners bar two (BINDAREE and NUMBERSIXVALVERDE) since 1990 were in their 3rd or 4th season chasing.

    It’s for this, as well as the reasons you outlined, that i’m tempted to back joes Edge aswell.

    Kiss of death…

  2. wacky says:

    WACKYRACES FINAL SELECTIONS 1,D’ARGENT 2,COMPLY OR DIE 3,CLOUDY LANE 4,SIMON (just incase the 11st stat doesn’t hold up) If the STATS hold up 1 of these horses will win the 2008 GRAND NATIONAL.All i can do now is keep the FAITH!! GOOD LUCK EVERYONE & I HOPE THAT I’VE HELPED.

  3. Russell says:

    1.COMPLY OR DIE (win bet)

    Two good value each way live contenders:
    2.SNOWY MORNING
    3.POINT BARROW

    Outsider with a bit of a shout
    4. BLACK APALACHI

  4. Systems Man says:

    Sttems man final selections.
    Top Two who look really good (and I agree with Wacky on this)
    1. Comply or Die
    2. D’Argent

    + (but I m not too keen of horses who have finished the year before)
    3. L’Ami
    4. Philsons Run

    I also have some early money on one or two others (PB, BB etc) but they are not my trend bets.

    I havent totely discounted Cloudy Lane as he has good trends (not as good as the four above)but I dont think he can do 36f.

  5. Stephen says:

    I have 5 Ante Post bets as follows…

    Placed in Jan

    Point Barrow @ 25/1
    Bewleys Berry @ 16/1

    Placed in Feb

    Cloudy Lane @ 10/1
    Comply Or Die @ 25/1

    Placed in March

    Chelsea Harbour @ 25/1

    All five have excellent chances and Chelsea Harbour is a horse that hasn’t been mentioned much on here but commands respect. He won a Grand National trial in Ireland over 3m 4f by 7 lengths. He then came out and was a staying on 4th over 2m 5f in a chase. In the last race it ran in, the 3rd and 7th have since won their next racecourse outing, two of the runners ran in the Irish National and four of the runners (including Chelsea Harbour) are in the Grand National. Looks like a decent prep race to me. The trainer has been very bullish about his chance in the papers aswell.

    Good Luck everyone!

  6. Neil says:

    I’m on D’argent @ 40/1 and Naunton Brook @ 50/1 as my best o/sider.
    Point Barrow and Comply or Die have all positives and Bewley’s Berry has only one negative viz., he’s won only one race! McKelvey and Simon are my “sentimentals”.On the day I’ll be doing combi’s of some of these for forecasts.

  7. COMPLY OR DIE says:

    1st MYSELF

    2nd POINT BARROW

    3rd DARGENT

    4th PHILSON RUN

  8. Brody says:

    All bet placed ante-post from November onwards:

    Slim Pickings E/W @ 25-1 10pts
    Ran a stormer last year despite not being fully prepared for the race having switched trainers. Has been trained all year with one race in mind and run some decent preps in Ireland without ever being over stretched. Seems well in at the weights and now the perfect age 9yrs old the extra year and stamina should hopefully see him repeat Hedgehunter’s feat or at least make a place given no bad luck in running.

    Point Barrow E/W @ 25-1 8pts
    Loved his profile last year, made a silly mistake and overeached at the 1st, prepared to give him one last shot though. Seems to have been laid out nicely and has become the forgotten horse by the media, which has renewed my confidence in him. Not expecting him to win but if he could make the frame would be a nice profitable bet.

    Black Apalachi E/W @ 66-1 4pts
    Another media shunned horse whose flown well below most people’s radar. Should run off a cracking weight getting lumps from many of the main protagonists. Is a sound jumper having never fallen in 24 outings over fences. Like Slim Pickings has been reinvigorated by changing yards to a better trainer. Has won at grade 2 level over hurdles to has a touch of speed and class. Has run in some of the top chases in Ireland this season and run with credit against horses much shorter in the betting. Hoping for a good run and if he wins I’m off on holiday :D

    Bewleys Berry E/W 20-1 3pts
    Comply or Die E/W 20-1 2pts
    Comply is a cover bet as I just can’t get him out of my head won’t be winning much on him though, seems to have every chance of running a huge race and Timmy Murphy can only be another plus. Bewleys Berry, admittedly a slightly sentimental bet as backed him last year and would be gutted if he hacked up this year carrying none of my money. Was staked after another stunning run in the Beecher in November. The horse just loves Aintree and comes alive over the national fences. Can forgive the Haydock run as HJ hsa stated he was a stone away from his peak racing weight in that run!!! Lets hope HJ has him right and bouncing for the big day so he can run into a place behind Slim, BA and PB (well i can dream) :D

    Main dangers for me are: Cloudy who I missed at teh big prices. Snowy if he is still standing at the last or elbow and Simon if there is enough cut in the ground.

    Best of luck everyone, hope everybody’s horses come back safe.

  9. kj says:

    For the record I have backed
    D’Argent
    Comply or Die
    McKelvey
    backed a couple of months ago, 2 others withdrew
    inc.Royal Auclair so disappointed
    esp. as finding replacement(s)now seems just annoying
    hard to seperate stats from funny feelings
    novice versus hardened campainers

  10. Brian says:

    I have backed
    Comply or Die
    D’Argent
    Point Barrow
    Bewleys Berry

    I have also got on 2 outsiders, Kelami at 66-1 and Baily Breeze at 66-1 because i put money on Bewleys Berry back in january but now not so sure so picked these two to cover my bets if they get a place.

    If Dun Doire was guaranteed a run my money would of been on him instead so if he does manage to squeeze in then will put on a few forecasts with him and the first three horses mentioned.

  11. Speedyseagull says:

    Here is my prediction for top 5. Most of the reasons have been covered in other threads.

    1. Cloudy Lane
    2. Comply or Die
    3. Snowy Morning
    4. Turko
    5. Simon

    I believe the best value outsiders are Cornish Rebel and Backbeat

  12. Matt says:

    My four against the field are
    1- D’Argent
    2 – Butler’s Cabin (hoping he really is best at this time of year and can put last two runs behind him!)
    3 – McKelvey
    4 – Backboard (big exchange price interest!)
    Also put a few quid on Philson Run a while back so fingers crossed Opera Mundi drops out so he makes the cut! Obviously Cloudy Lane looks the main danger but too many question marks for me to have taken him one his price started dropping. Doubts about trip and course plus I think it’s very easy to pick holes in the Grimthorpe form with Mr P bursting a vessel and Ungaro running poorly after fall in Racing Post chase. That said, if he looks like he’s enjoying things at Canal Turn second time round I can’t see anything really beating him! Good luck for everyone’s selections!

  13. Grand National King says:

    Im going to for Comply Or Die to win as he looks the pick of the favourites and a reasonable prices.

    My E/W Bets are

    D’Argent 33/1 and Point Barrow 25/1 (although PB’s form worries me Ive just got that little feeling)

    and Dun Doire if he makes the cut. Available at a massive 33/1, carrying low weight and a known stayer. Fits all the trends and still only 9 yeays old- Im amazed he’s been overlooked by the bookies.

    Black Apalachi 66/1 is the most interesting outsider and certainly worth a few quid.

    Biggest threats will be Cloudy Lane and Bewleys Berry who Im not backing due to their un-appealing prices.

  14. Brian says:

    Matt,
    Philson run is in the top 40 as it has a higher rating than Black Apalchi.
    The following is how it stands now

    40 Philson run
    41 Black Apalchi
    42 Joes Edge
    43 Dun Doire
    44 Ardaghey

  15. Jimmy Boy says:

    I’ve backed Comply Or Die for reasons you will have seen around the blog, and feel positive about his chances.

    Backbeat will probably be my each way flutter when I’m shopping for value at Aintree

  16. SILVER BIRCH says:

    philson run lovers … i think ur horse is in..ollie magern a non runner

  17. SILVER BIRCH says:

    sorry – posted it into the wrong category … the excitements gettings to me:-)

  18. SILVER BIRCH says:

    Hi Folks .. my final 5

    Best of British to all…….

    1.POINT BARROW
    2.COMPLY OR DIE
    3.CLOUDY LANE
    4.PHILSON RUN
    5.DARGENT

  19. Showlad says:

    Brian (or anyone) the horses on same weights were being separated today – any idea how they were rated? Wonder where Dunbrody stands now.

  20. Brian says:

    Showlad, I only know down to number 44 (see above) which will now be 43 with ollie Magern pulling out.

  21. Showlad says:

    Thanks Brian. Dunbrody placed in 3 of his 4 Aintree outings…hope he makes cut. Where did you get info Brian? (maybe I can access from same source after number 44) :)

  22. alanham says:

    My five against the field, all e.w and ante post from january onwards are slim pickings (20-1), point barrow (25-1), simon (18-1), bewleys berry (16-1) and one that no one will agree with me, cornish sett (140-1 upto 250-1).I have read the trainer said cornish sett likes a flat galloping track and is related to two previous winners of this race and had decent form a couple of seasons ago, you never know.

  23. Brody says:

    Racing Post online would probably be your best bet Showlad.

  24. Showlad says:

    Thanks Brody. Looks like Dunbrody missed reserve list by 1 or 2. Ne’er mind. I shall look forward to touching base with you all this evening when I shall be nailing my colours to the mast re my top 5.

    Admin – why don’t you run a lil’ competition, with a daft prize for the winner? Points could be awarded in a variety of ways –
    eg 5 points for getting correct 1st place and 1 point for getting correct 5th place or a point for each horse you guess correctly in the top5? Might be a laugh :) You could crown the Grand National Blog Tipster of 2008 lol

  25. Brody says:

    Showlad if you really fancy Dunbrody he is running tomorrow in the Topham chase 3.45pm. Nice EW price too around 20/1.

  26. Showlad says:

    Thanks Brody :)

  27. Irish Raider says:

    Backed:
    1 Dun Doire 40/1
    2 Point Barrow 33/1
    3 Black Appalachi 66/1
    4 Naunton Brook 66/1

    Gonna do one more from Cornish Sett, Idle Talk, Bailey Breeze.

    Good luck to all.

  28. Pav says:

    I have backed:
    Comply Or Die
    Mr Pointment
    Chelsea Harbour
    Mon Mome
    Butler’s Cabin

    I haven’t put any money on Cloudy Lane because of the short price.

  29. Johnny Valentine says:

    My main bet is D’ARGENT each way. I just hope his jumping holds out. If so, he’s got a great chance. Who says grey horses don’t win the Grand National?

    I topped up on him at 28/1 at William Hill earlier. They soon dropped that price!

    I’ve also had a smaller bet on POINT BARROW, but I’ve felt less confident by the day since his run at Gowran Park a few weeks ago. However, the Irish trainers are canny…

    I may throw a fiver each way on NAUNTON BROOK for fun when I put the kids’ bets on tomorrow morning. He’s way overpriced and could easily run into a place.

    COMPLY OR DIE will be in my 6 x £1 tricast with D’ARGENT and POINT BARROW.

    Thank you to everyone for their advice, research, enthusiasm, expertise and wisdom over the last few weeks. It’s been fascinating to read everyone’s views. I’ve learned a lot. If only we could all win!

    Looking forward to the post-race analysis. I’m sure it will be lively but good-natured.

  30. Showlad says:

    OK Guys time to nail my colours to the mast. I am torn between the class of Cloudy and Comply but not convinced they will get the distance (cloudy) or have enough LONG distance classic race placings (comply)and torn to the other option of great horses finally kicking back into form. Weather I hope is enough of a fly in the ointment for D’Argent to make his stamina tell and get a place. I’m going to go with latter – great horses with classic 4m+ racing credentials, who fit stage 1 of stats, returning to form on the Big Day.
    So, here we go!
    1 – BUTLER’S CABIN
    2 – SLIM PICKINGS
    3 – POINT BARROW
    4 – D’ARGENT
    5 – MCKELVEY.
    On hols tomorrow (though ofcourse I’ll be seeing the big race!!) but having a chillout so won’t be at pc or laptop. Back next Sat, look forward to reading all the reactions and hope enough of you are sticking around to have a blog and share reactions too. Thanks to all for a great site, esp the statisticians esp Systems Man and Wacky.
    Good Luck ALL and God Bless the horses and jockeys :)

  31. Wayward lad says:

    Good luck everyone
    My four

    Butlers Cabin
    Point Barrow
    Mon Mome
    Philson Run

  32. Brody says:

    Got the winner plus two placed (if you bet to 5 placed bookies). Anyone beat that?

    Russell seemed to do well with win and place.