Becher Chase - Can it give us the Grand National Winner?
November 27th, 2007Following his victory in Saturdays becher chase, ran over 3m2f of the Aintree Grand National course and fences, Mr Pointment shot to the head of the 2008 Grand National betting.Is Mr Pointments 16/1 quote from Bluesq to win the Grand National justified? Can the Becher chase lead us to the 2008 Grand National winner? Discuss!!
Why we should back horses which run well in the Becher to Win the Grand National
Fighting the corner for recent Becher winners are Silver Birch, and Amberleigh House who both won the Grand National after winning the Becher. Earth Summit also completed the double, but the other way round and some of us still wonder how 2003 Becher winner Clan Royal didn’t. In fact lets look at the last 10 Becher winners and see how they ran in following Grand Nationals.
2006 Euro Trek - pulled up in the 2007 Grand National
2005 Garvivonnian - pulled up 2006
2004 Silver Birch - Won 2007 at 33/1, Fell 2006
2003 Clan Royal - 2nd 2004 at 10/1 (should have won but jockey dropped his whip and went the wrong way) Carried Out 2005 (would have won if a loose horse hadn’t run him off the course!) 3rd 2006 at 5/1, 11th 2007
2002 Ardent Scout 7th 2004
2001 Amberleigh House Won 2004 at 16/1, 3rd 2003 at 33/1, 10th 2005, PU 2006
2000 Young Kenny - Didn’t subsequently run in Grand national
1999 Feels Like Gold - 14th 2000, 2001 badly hampered and refused
1998 Earth Summit - 8th 1999
1997 Samlee - 3rd 1998 8/1, 10th 1999
So if you had simply backed each Becher chase winner from the last ten years on their future grand national runs you would have made 18 bets and been rewarded with 2 winners and 4 places. A nice profit of £330 to £10 win level stakes. Or for £10 each way bets a healthy £472.50 profit and that’s at starting prices - potentially loads more at ante post prices…
So is Mr Pointment a good bet for the 2008 Grand National? The trends say he is - lets have our £10 each way now . 16/1 is currently available with Bluesq
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